The home team is considered to
have a significant advantage over the visitors a result
of playing in familiar facilities and in front of
supportive fans. Statistics drawn from our trusted NBA
Database tells us home teams are winning straight up at
a 58.3% clip this season (633-452) with a 550-520-15
(50.7%) record at the betting window split between
349-345-11 ATS as chalk (49.5%), 201-175-4 ATS (52.9%)
in an underdog roll.
Overall, not exactly midas touch of handicapping but we can't paint all home teams with the same brush.
Looking at the best home teams against-the-spread, Sixers usually handed an enourmous amount of points are 'Master of the House' keeping supporters happy cashing 69.4% of their tickets (25-11 ATS) including a cash-stuffing 11-4 ATS handed 4 to 6.5 point of offense. Sixers at the present time are also a perfect 5-0 ATS given double digits in front of the home audience.
Thunder are the next best at treating supporters with winning tickets. Thunder are cashing 67.6% of their tickets (25-11-1) including a sparkling 11-1 ATS when favored in the -4.0 to -6.5 points range.
At the other end of the spectrum, Magic are the worst bet on home court posting a 11-25-1 ATS record (29.7%) followed by Hawks at 14-22 ATS (38.9%).
Breaking numbers down further:
- Home favorites playing without rest are a coin-flip at 42-41-3 ATS while Home dogs with little shut-eye are showing some bite at 33-28-2 ATS.
- Home favorites off one-point exact loss have been good bets the next game going 6-2 ATS with Home dogs in the same situation 4-6 ATS.
- Home underdogs with no rest off an OT loss the previous night are a money-burning 1-3 ATS.
Stats up to and including March 26, 2017
Guaranteed Selections for all major sports from the nation's top sports handicappers