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NBA Betting Angle:  Double Disadvantage - March 22, 2017

It's understood that NBA teams play a lot of back-to-back games and are at a disadvantage when facing a rested team. Heading intoWednesday action (3/23/2017) teams playing without rest facing a rested team have won 39.1% of their games (116-181 SU). Even adding the great equalizer (spread) teams in the situation are not exactly best bets going 143-147-7 (48.1%) against the betting line a far cry from the normal 52.38% break-even rate.

Such numbers have not been limited to recent times. Going back to the 2013-14 campaign team playing with little shut-eye running the hardwood against a rested team have won 41.0% of their games (584-839 SU) cashing tickets 49.9% of the time. (710-689-24 ATS) once again under long term 52.38% break-even rate needed to be successful in this business.

Now, playing without rest after taking part in an NBA overtime contest the previous day then facing a rested team is an even bigger disadvantage. In the last three plus seasons, teams in this NBA hoops double disadvantage have won just 36.8% of their games (28-48 SU) with a 35-41 record against the betting line (46.1%).

Within those numbers, a home underdog with a bad case of fatigue handed 6.5 or less points facing a rested road team are a money-burning 1-5 (16.7%) against the betting line. Obviously the situation is a rarity and does not rise often but it is something you 'Want-2-Watch-4'. That's because it can not only avoid a pitfall, it provides an opportunity that pays handsomely (83.3%) by 'Playing-Against' the double disadvantaged home underdog handed +6.5 or less points.


 

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